Category
Decision Frameworks
How to Use a Weighted Decision Matrix
A step-by-step method for comparing options across several criteria at once, with a fully worked three-way job-offer example and the two pitfalls that quietly corrupt the result.
Expected Value: A Practical Guide for Everyday Decisions
What expected value means, a worked warranty example, and the crucial cases where EV is the wrong tool: one-shot bets, risk of ruin, and the difference between value and utility.
Reversible vs Irreversible Decisions: The Two-Way Door Rule
Jeff Bezos’s one-way versus two-way door framing, why reversibility should decide how much you deliberate, and practical ways to turn irreversible choices into reversible ones.
How to Run a Pre-Mortem Before a Big Decision
Gary Klein’s pre-mortem technique imagines a decision has already failed to surface hidden risks, using prospective hindsight to defeat overconfidence and groupthink. Includes a worked example.